Polymarket Trader

0x811754d0b8e67b92e0777aa844e736e48f392ac9

0xe84edab861edb0d124e4f3f8a2e9dc2328fc31f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.67K
Realized PnL: $14.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $415
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$201.99

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Bucks

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$918

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$370

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $87.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $412.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1

Pacers position

Jazz vs. Pacers

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$315

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $498.94
Potential profit: $498.94
User PnL: -$66.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.38
Potential profit: $400.38
User PnL: -$147.75

Hornets position

Bucks vs. Hornets

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$168

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Celtics

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$156

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$126

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$4.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.19
Potential profit: $296.19
User PnL: -$80.94

Pacers position

Spurs vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.57
Potential profit: $199.57
User PnL: -$93.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.66
Potential profit: $198.66
User PnL: -$65.56

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$88.5

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.6K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.37K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $496

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $319

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.39

Senators position

Senators vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $166.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.97

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Suns

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126

Pistons position

Knicks vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.4%
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $92.93

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2352410.99x
User PnL: $47.75

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $46.27

Nets position

Pelicans vs. Nets

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.84

Pacers position

Kings vs. Pacers

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

No 89% 150 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 86.1% 1,000 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 6.4% 323.33 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 6.8% 30 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 95.6% 478.29 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 83.8% 465.26 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 15.7% 661.47 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 5% 672.82 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 15.4% 19.98 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 5.3% 40 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 6.1% 142.83 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 16% 300 shares