Polymarket Trader

zaytrade1

0xe8503cdd6cc4e65c6db0a3effc3f2421d8abf826

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98.29
Realized PnL: $191.65
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $98.97
Potential profit: $98.23
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$27.12

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $97.53
Potential payout: $98.97
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.41

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.32
Potential profit: $98.32
User PnL: -$53.06

Yes position

Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.02
Potential profit: $61.02
User PnL: -$19.64

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.02
Potential profit: $61.02
User PnL: -$27.05

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $60.24
User PnL: -$6.81

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.49
Potential profit: $51.49
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.49
Potential profit: $51.49
User PnL: -$11.33

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.33
Potential profit: $51.33
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.07
Potential profit: $51.07
User PnL: -$25.54

Yes position

Will Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.96
Potential profit: $48.96
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.96
Potential profit: $48.96
User PnL: -$7.87

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.96
Potential profit: $48.96
User PnL: -$17.37

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.81
Potential profit: $48.81
User PnL: -$14.15

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.81
Potential profit: $48.81
User PnL: -$6.35

Yes position

Will FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.72
Potential profit: $11.72
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.72
Potential profit: $11.72
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.19
Potential profit: $8.19
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.19
Potential profit: $8.19
User PnL: -$3.19

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.87
Potential profit: $5.87
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.04

Yes position

Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.96

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.89

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.45

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.1

Yes position

Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.42

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.34

Yes position

Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.78

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 17.2% 17.87 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 80.8% 17.87 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 31.2% 30.08 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 66.8% 30.08 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 30.2% 51.02 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 67.8% 51.02 shares
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Yes 22% 51.49 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 3.1% 51.49 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 72% 51.49 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 54% 48.81 shares
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 33% 22.67 shares