No position
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.09K
- Potential profit
- $4.09K
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Polymarket Trader
frostyk
0xe85c0580508636c0d47c89ff55cf11c7276ded6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.03
- Realized PnL
- $637.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.08K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
Will FULL SENSE win Valorant Masters London 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.04K
- Potential profit
- $4.04K
- User PnL
- -$4.04
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- User PnL
- -$4.01
No position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $3.84K
- User PnL
- -$3.84
No position
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- User PnL
- -$3.79
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$3.76
No position
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$4.09
No position
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
World Cup: Winless Team?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$4.07
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$4.03
No position
Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $15.04
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$4.07
No position
Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $978.88
- Potential profit
- $976.44
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $882.08
- Potential profit
- $880.76
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $814.06
- Potential profit
- $810.39
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $782
- Potential profit
- $780.83
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.74
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $6.64
- Potential payout
- $781.6
- Potential profit
- $774.96
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $776
- Potential profit
- $776
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $146.06
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.57
No position
Will NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.02
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.96
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $22.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.47
No position
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.56
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $17.49
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.84
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.13
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.56
Yes position
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.53
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.71
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.47
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.77
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.23
No position
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.82
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.61
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Will the US strike Iraq next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.32
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.24
Yes position
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?Yes 0.6% 417.77 shares
- Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes 1% 269.29 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.9% 290.01 shares
- Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.7% 272.66 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.3% 217.64 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes 0.5% 565.71 shares
- Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.2% 527.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?Yes 0.2% 564.27 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 0.4% 238.82 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Yes 0.1% 584.28 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes 0.3% 683.36 shares
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 1.1% 248.75 shares