Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $87.6
- Potential payout
- $149.74
- Potential profit
- $62.14
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $6.74
Polymarket Trader
0xe862...02f1
0xe8623ec85b1befdfd613ac70e49c6c4d3b4702f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $339.77
- Realized PnL
- $4.69
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $63.89
- Potential payout
- $114.09
- Potential profit
- $50.2
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$4.56
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $18.97
- Potential payout
- $84.33
- Potential profit
- $65.36
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $75.23
- Potential profit
- $73.46
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $58.49
- Potential payout
- $60.67
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $6.36
- Potential payout
- $47.12
- Potential profit
- $40.76
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $17.55
- Potential payout
- $43.34
- Potential profit
- $25.79
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $29.86
- Potential payout
- $36.96
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $30.72
- Potential payout
- $31.08
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $21.33
- Potential payout
- $27.51
- Potential profit
- $6.18
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $10.52
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $18.16
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $2.97
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.93x
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.21x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.57
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 26% 46.02 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.9% 11.04 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 88.5% 23.83 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 2.8% 66.47 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.4% 81.12 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.4% 183.72 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 4.6% 83.32 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 4.4% 157.42 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 3.5% 121.27 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 10% 186.67 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 38.2% 109.4 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4% 50.44 shares