Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Polymarket Trader
Stairs.
0xe86b6f664b9cd4099dbedc98606fad0ea84b8e43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.9
- Realized PnL
- $1.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $24.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $575.1
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.74
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.75
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.1
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.48
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.38
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.2
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.73
No position
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.94
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.9
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
No position
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.39
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.41
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.16
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.74
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.42
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.78
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.5
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.54
No position
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.35
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.73
No position
Will the US strike Mexico next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.26
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 62% 160 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No 79% 299.98 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No 71.1% 3 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on May 15?Yes 0.1% 2,585.95 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No 98.2% 155.16 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?Up 99.3% 100 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?Up 99.9% 1,670.6 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,900-$7,000 in March?No 99.9% 232.67 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,100 in March?No 99.9% 849.55 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,100-$7,200 in March?No 99.9% 745.69 shares
- Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?Yes 0.2% 50 shares