No position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $6.11
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $179.07
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Polymarket Trader
cookepl
0xe87d581b0638989980db9f2afeabc36d1d09a580
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $158.64
- Realized PnL
- $237.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $21.67
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $89.44
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $70.56
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $40.56
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.27
- Potential profit
- $66.27
- User PnL
- -$52.86
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $20.3
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $40.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.15
- Potential profit
- $50.15
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $42.55
- User PnL
- -$40
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump sign between 1 and 3 executive orders on January 22?
Ends Jan 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
No position
Will Karoline Leavitt be out as White House Press Secretary in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.72
Yes position
Will Trump and Elon say "Department of Education" during their Feb 18 interview?
Ends Feb 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Solana above $185 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Solana dip to $120 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will Solana dip to $150 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Will Solana reach $185 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Solana reach $250 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will Solana reach $195 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Solana hit $300 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Solana reach $290 in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 33% 60.61 shares
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No 2.7% 185.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 63% 111.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes 32% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?No 2.1% 600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 43.07 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 45% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 19% 300 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No 98.8% 29.62 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 99.3% 30.19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 43.08 shares