Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Polymarket Trader
tristenbailey9732
0xe883e979f5b98097e829d00e68347ef1f31ea390
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $12.47
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Trump say "Trump Reciprocal Trade Act" by April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 China Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Apr 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
F1 season canceled or other team wins?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.9% 86 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 45% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 46 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 16.7% 56 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 10.8% 124 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 10.8% 39 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 14.5% 150 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 9.2% 39 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 57% 80 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 57% 80 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 72% 65 shares