Polymarket Trader

504daodniw

0xe889a10bba256d5e8acd202b8698777bd9830d93

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $977.51
Realized PnL: $185.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $199.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $197.89
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.1

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $99.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.98
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $19.92
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $19.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $19.87
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $19.73
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $19.92
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $19.51
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 6AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 7PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 5AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 13, 12PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET

Up 98.3% 11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET

Up 99% 353 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12AM ET

Up 99% 101 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Up 99% 100 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Up 99% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Up 98% 100 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Up 99% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 14?

No 99.8% 9.9 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 99% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 99% 100 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 99% 25 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Up 99% 100 shares