Yes position
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $31.35
- Potential payout
- $285
- Potential profit
- $253.65
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$79.8
Polymarket Trader
WilliamCastro2242
@ActonAlthe62186
0xe8bbc538044fa0fdbc80ea17f2d8099358c5e885
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $140.47
- Realized PnL
- $1.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243
- Potential profit
- $243
- User PnL
- -$104.49
No position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $98.28
- Potential payout
- $189
- Potential profit
- $90.72
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $45.36
Yes position
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $99
- Potential profit
- $93.75
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$23.46
No position
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$7.04
No position
Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- -$38.22
Yes position
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $32.87
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$18.81
Yes position
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.82
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.79
No position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.78
Y
Yes position
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.9
Yes position
Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.22
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $68.14
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.46
Yes position
Will Trae Young be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.53
Yes position
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.04
Yes position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.83
Yes position
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.13
Yes position
Will Battlefield 6 win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.8
Yes position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $43.75
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.72
Yes position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.92
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $37.62
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $37.13
No position
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.95
Yes position
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.44
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.19
Yes position
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.68
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.8
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 15% 7 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 55% 552 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 56% 552 shares
- Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 85% 364 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?No 72% 72 shares
- Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 86% 150 shares
- Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?No 21% 63 shares
- Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 87% 514 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No 35.1% 426 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No 35.2% 179 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?No 76% 72 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No 38.1% 605 shares