Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $106
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $94
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $6
Polymarket Trader
xfm-8-2
0xe8c15e5bb294b783d5f6497f7b150c4b53b761e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106
- Realized PnL
- $96.26
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.99
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $19.8
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$9.8
No position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 74% 188.41 shares
- Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No 74% 32.9 shares
- Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No 75% 20.1 shares
- Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No 76% 137 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 58% 180 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 58% 50 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 59% 5 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No 57% 22.74 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No 58% 41.26 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No 59% 116 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No 68% 180 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 59% 140 shares