Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $23.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $56.8
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Polymarket Trader
0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190
0xe8c428250693d7f1e588ba6f4666d02e68f0ea5c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $728.19
- Realized PnL
- $52.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $23.4
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $36.6
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $28.2
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $31.8
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $50.01
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
No position
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $51.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Y
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $50.1
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $33.89
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $26.11
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $50.4
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $52.8
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $30.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $29.1
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $47.56
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $10.44
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $51.28
- Potential payout
- $54.84
- Potential profit
- $3.56
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $41.3
- Potential payout
- $52.61
- Potential profit
- $11.31
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
No position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $42.28
- Potential payout
- $49.65
- Potential profit
- $7.37
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $40.01
- Potential profit
- $35.81
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $22.4
- Potential payout
- $40.01
- Potential profit
- $17.6
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $36.41
- Potential payout
- $40.01
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $32
- Potential payout
- $40.01
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $27.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $12.8
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Current value
- $9.66
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $30.34
- Multiplier
- 4.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $20.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $19.4
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $11.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $28.6
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.55
N
No position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No 84% 40 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No 52% 5 shares
- Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?No 19% 6 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No 54% 40 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 30% 40 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes 21% 40 shares
- OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI 37% 40 shares
- Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No 81% 18 shares
- Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 73% 28 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Yes 87% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 30% 40 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes 16% 5 shares