Polymarket Trader

z7000

0xe8c447d80a7dd0db3314431170bb2d016c88f498

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $65.3
Realized PnL: $508.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.04
Potential profit: $112.04
User PnL: -$56.02

No position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $47.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $12.9
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will WOLF win the Orderly trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Canton launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.85
Potential profit: $4.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ostium launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will prjx launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zama launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.55

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.6

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.02

Up position

XRP Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.02

Up position

Solana Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.91

Down position

XRP Up or Down on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will WOLF win the Orderly trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Cardano ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.1%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Pepe ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 76% 100 shares
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Yes 13% 20 shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 43% 40 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 91% 75 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 91.8% 40 shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 55% 40 shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 46% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

No 39% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Yes 62% 50 shares
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 51.3% 130 shares
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

No 29.1% 7.81 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.3% 40 shares