Polymarket Trader

KariusZ

0xe8cb4808b0819981794b73c5f78948eb05bb38eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $130.69
Realized PnL: $544.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $27.12
Potential payout: $132.29
Potential profit: $105.17
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$15.53

Yes position

Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $57.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.23
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$8.23

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $25.91
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$5.61

No position

Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $19.39
Potential payout: $29.82
Potential profit: $10.44
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $23.65
Potential profit: $18.8
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$5.15

Yes position

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $23.1
Potential profit: $20.56
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$7.46

No position

Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $8.06
Potential payout: $20.66
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $12.1
Potential profit: $6.96
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $12.1
Potential profit: $7.87
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$5.76

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $10.69
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.61

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.62

Yes position

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

No position

Will Hegseth or Cooper say "President" or "Trump" 20+ times during press conference?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

No position

Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Intelligence" during press conference?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97

No position

Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Up 26% 17.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Down 72% 6.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Down 99% 78.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Down 14% 31.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Down 20% 22.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Down 22% 20.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 16% 27.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Down 36% 12.61 shares
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

No 68.1% 14.68 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?

Yes 30.3% 33 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?

Yes 18.8% 53.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Down 8% 10.84 shares