Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.08
- Potential profit
- $251.08
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0xe8DFc81C628df53Ff3954DAAfC2f38c2193CCE29-1772283910314
0xe8dfc81c628df53ff3954daafc2f38c2193cce29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.02
- Realized PnL
- -$8.98
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $119.05
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $3.86
- Potential payout
- $20.49
- Potential profit
- $16.63
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.39
- Potential profit
- $10.39
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $6.08
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will George Pickens play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.2%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.96
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 98.2% 6.41 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?Yes 38.5% 10.39 shares
- Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 251.08 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Yes 5.6% 156.25 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Yes 3.2% 156.25 shares
- Will George Pickens play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?Yes 70% 7.14 shares
- Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?Yes 77% 6.49 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 74% 6.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 59% 12.19 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 51% 9.8 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 65% 7.69 shares