Polymarket Trader

law.flock.palm

0xe8e843894de85dc0d478ff6f92430de14a52a671

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14
Realized PnL: $283.14
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$16.74

Under position

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.75

No position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95.8%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Under position

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 1 Leeds United FC?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 81.4%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.42

No position

Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.23

Under position

CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.9

Misa Esports position

LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 88°F or higher on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5

Under 90% 14 shares
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?

No 93% 18 shares
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5

Under 91% 13 shares
CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5

Under 90% 21 shares
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner

Misa Esports 93% 21 shares
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 1 Leeds United FC?

No 91% 12 shares
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

No 96.8% 1,411 shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 4.4% 2,958 shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 4.4% 3,343 shares
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 94.8% 917 shares
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 94.9% 1,423 shares
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 90.3% 1,144 shares