Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Polymarket Trader
Elibiton
0xe8f348dae364517f0ee9bbeac2928460335dd930
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.11
- Realized PnL
- $6.93K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $849.26
- Potential profit
- $849.26
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $741.09
- Potential profit
- $741.09
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $721.83
- Potential profit
- $721.83
- User PnL
- -$200
Nuggets position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $670.36
- Potential profit
- $670.36
- User PnL
- -$294.96
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $602.26
- Potential profit
- $602.26
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $36.11
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $519.44
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$63.89
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $502.83
- Potential profit
- $502.83
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $354.17
- Potential profit
- $354.17
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $303.03
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Aston Villa FC vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to Score
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.9
- Potential profit
- $244.9
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.11
- Potential profit
- $244.11
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
TikTok sale announced by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.11
- Potential profit
- $161.11
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.3
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.76
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.71
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.47
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.21
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.39
Yes position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.59
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.61
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.79
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.56
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.97
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.73
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.46
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$9.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 45% 333.33 shares
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 32.1% 606.06 shares
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 33% 606.06 shares
- NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets 44% 658.91 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 43% 270.27 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No 87.2% 142.98 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes 21.6% 462.47 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 46% 217.39 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No 69.9% 142.99 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 37% 270.27 shares
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes 10.8% 4,948.78 shares
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes 36.4% 4,948.79 shares