No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $130.91K
- Potential payout
- $144.66K
- Potential profit
- $13.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.04K
Polymarket Trader
BlindGibbon
0xe8ff0a56d848954b60e8e8ed99637e3c50ddc93b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $405.87K
- Realized PnL
- $113.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $100.6K
- Potential payout
- $111.16K
- Potential profit
- $10.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $93.15K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $6.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $132
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $22.62K
- Potential payout
- $28.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.37K
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $25.72K
- Potential payout
- $27.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $13.92K
- Potential profit
- $11.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.3K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $11.33K
- Potential payout
- $11.44K
- Potential profit
- $108.64
- User PnL
- $932.91
No position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $950
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $7.04K
- Potential payout
- $8.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $507.6
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $82.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $11.24
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $294.05
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$309.13
No position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $951.93
- Potential profit
- $951.93
- User PnL
- -$756.62
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $413.97
- Potential payout
- $508
- Potential profit
- $94.03
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $58.37
No position
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $217.54
- Potential payout
- $221.75
- Potential profit
- $4.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
Will Haiti vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.79
- Potential profit
- $102.79
- User PnL
- -$100
Lightning position
Kraken vs. Lightning
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.79
- Potential profit
- $32.79
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.93K
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.57K
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07K
No position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41K
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69K
No position
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24K
No position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78K
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13K
Yes position
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
No position
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?
Ends Aug 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Bears position
Cowboys vs. Bears
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
Steelers position
Steelers vs. Patriots
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 91.2% 55.57 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 91% 11,400 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 86% 4,035.5 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 83% 2,484.86 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 85.5% 2,352.47 shares
- Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?No 89.7% 189.99 shares
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No 90% 50.03 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92% 1,023.45 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 25,000 shares
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No 81.1% 2,091.38 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 83.8% 1,798.82 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 34% 294.11 shares