suntori

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.92K
Potential payout: $7.85M
Potential profit: $7.84M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.92K

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.74K
Potential payout: $7.48M
Potential profit: $7.48M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.74K

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.44K
Potential payout: $6.88M
Potential profit: $6.88M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.44K

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.22K
Potential payout: $6.44M
Potential profit: $6.44M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.22K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $2.38M
Potential profit: $2.37M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.9K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $54.54K
Potential payout: $2.15M
Potential profit: $2.09M
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $2.66K

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $700.65
Potential payout: $1.4M
Potential profit: $1.4M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$700.65

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.95K
Potential payout: $1.18M
Potential profit: $1.18M
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.77K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $958.85K
Potential profit: $957.41K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.59K

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $444.29
Potential payout: $888.58K
Potential profit: $888.14K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$444.29

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $869.19K
Potential profit: $865.28K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.65K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $28.68K
Potential payout: $644.43K
Potential profit: $615.75K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $63.24K
Potential payout: $629.26K
Potential profit: $566.01K
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $3.61K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $97.4K
Potential payout: $527.93K
Potential profit: $430.53K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $8.77K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $55K
Potential payout: $526.35K
Potential profit: $471.35K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$2.33K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.39K
Potential payout: $508.5K
Potential profit: $500.11K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $26.32K
Potential payout: $465.9K
Potential profit: $439.57K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $54.76K
Potential payout: $413.28K
Potential profit: $358.52K
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$13.51K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $166.75
Potential payout: $333.51K
Potential profit: $333.34K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$256.14

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $20.86K
Potential payout: $313.63K
Potential profit: $292.78K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$6.45K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $33.45K
Potential payout: $297.32K
Potential profit: $263.87K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $8.2K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $283.35K
Potential profit: $282.08K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$515.7

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $100.19
Potential payout: $200.37K
Potential profit: $200.27K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$100.19

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $691.99
Potential payout: $197.71K
Potential profit: $197.02K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$22.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.65K

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.71K

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.09K

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.24K

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.89K

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.93K

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.94K

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.18K

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.87K

Over position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.78K

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.8K

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.72K

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.03K

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.11K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93K

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.11K

Over position

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.28K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.7K

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.63K

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score