Polymarket Trader

G9vQK5Gcyx

0xe90fe094286107ab146138930fb878869702131e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $332.06
Realized PnL: $530.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $547.76
Potential profit: $546.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.41
Potential profit: $403.41
User PnL: -$8.44

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $176
Potential profit: $175.38
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $15.78
Potential payout: $126.21
Potential profit: $110.44
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $100.29
Potential profit: $90.36
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: -$16.83

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $97.85
Potential payout: $98
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $63.73
Potential profit: $58.95
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$17.9

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $13.36
Potential payout: $50.4
Potential profit: $37.04
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$2.32

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $48.51
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.94

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.94
Potential profit: $43.94
User PnL: -$28.64

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $21.28
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $16.72
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $9.12

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $36.05
Potential payout: $36.58
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $14.88

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $31.61
Potential profit: $31.15
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.61

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $31.49
Potential profit: $27.82
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $29.74
Potential profit: $29.71
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $27.48
Potential payout: $27.65
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $27.52
Potential profit: $25.63
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $26.76
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $22.52
Potential profit: $21.02
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $22.31
Potential profit: $20.63
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $19.6
Potential payout: $21.76
Potential profit: $2.15
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.23
Potential profit: $21.23
User PnL: -$10.19

Yes position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.99

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.12

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $45.12

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.94

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.35

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.29

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.65

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.64

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.41

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.53

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.03

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.92

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.27

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.82

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.43

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.94

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

No 28% 1.85 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

No 26% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

No 33% 2.65 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

No 33% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

No 32% 7.66 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

No 9.4% 15.74 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

No 9.4% 15.74 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

No 21% 6.86 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 62% 6.39 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 63% 6.29 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96.5% 5 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96.5% 5 shares