Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $28.05
- Potential payout
- $174.79
- Potential profit
- $146.74
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- $3.23
Polymarket Trader
sensen0109123
0xe91aaf278836499f4d2d456d849aebbcc67171f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $274.46
- Realized PnL
- $392.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $83.21
- Potential payout
- $158.5
- Potential profit
- $75.29
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $22.97
- Potential payout
- $106.57
- Potential profit
- $83.61
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.92
- Potential payout
- $55.36
- Potential profit
- $48.44
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $51.72
- Potential profit
- $49.01
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$23.92
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $40.14
- Potential payout
- $43.86
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $22.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $22
- Potential payout
- $42.71
- Potential profit
- $20.72
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $23.19
- Potential payout
- $25.09
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $14.05
- Potential payout
- $20.51
- Potential profit
- $6.46
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $18.41
- Potential payout
- $18.68
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $9.06
- Potential payout
- $10.85
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $10.09
- Potential profit
- $6.36
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.55
Yes position
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.62
Vitality position
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.65
No position
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.22
Yes position
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.04
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.98
Yes position
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.87
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.17
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.04
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.28
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
DR Congo position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Over position
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
TheMongolz position
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 70% 20.51 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.6% 106.57 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.9% 781.38 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 89.8% 13.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 64.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7.8% 27.86 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 61% 13.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8.5% 37.13 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 51% 9.75 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 54.5% 9.75 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 47% 9.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 34% 14.28 shares