Polymarket Trader

fgta00

0xe933dcd0a3b8b5fcd8650424cab5d51ffeff50d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.73
Realized PnL: $188.14
Win rate: 61.9%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $109.8
Potential profit: $106.78
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$16.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $36.09
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $57.66
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $16.43
Potential payout: $69.92
Potential profit: $53.49
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.72
Potential profit: $51.72
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $39.61
Potential profit: $27.93
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.17
Potential profit: $35.17
User PnL: -$9.48

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.2% and 1.5%?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.3
Potential profit: $31.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$19.2

Switzerland position

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.59
Potential profit: $24.59
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

No position

Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.46
User PnL: -$2.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

$70,000 position

Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will Pluribus win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.81

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.85

No position

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 64% 30 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Switzerland 61% 24.59 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 29.85 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 58% 51.72 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 19% 267.45 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 32% 93.75 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 36.7% 21.73 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 38.3% 59.73 shares
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

No 0.3% 29.41 shares
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Yes 99.7% 17.85 shares