Polymarket Trader

briar2682

@briar2682

0xe944fd614c0bf6a76e5ffd312401e6a790de0837

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.32K
Realized PnL: $7.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $192.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $218.91
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $980.61
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$64.85

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $178.05
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $966.99
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $47.76

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $991.5
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $845.4
Potential profit: $845.4
User PnL: -$128.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $765
Potential profit: $765
User PnL: -$251.07

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $658
Potential profit: $658
User PnL: -$34.25

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $491
Potential profit: $491
User PnL: -$23.08

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $379.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $20.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.65

Celtics position

Nuggets vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.57
Potential profit: $399.57
User PnL: -$295.59

No position

Will Celsius say "PepsiCo" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313
Potential profit: $313
User PnL: -$31.3

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $120.09
Potential payout: $292.9
Potential profit: $172.81
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $23.42

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$28.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$43.8

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $191.4
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $28.6
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $559.91

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.88

Gracheva position

Pan Pacific Open: Xinyu Wang vs Varvara Gracheva

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $476.88

Joint position

Pan Pacific Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Maya Joint

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.75

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.74

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.76

Medvedev position

Almaty Open: Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.21

Kenin position

Pan Pacific Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Kenin

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.44

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.71

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.81

No position

Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.07

Joshua Van position

UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.92

paiN position

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.5

Kessler position

Pan Pacific Open: Cristina Bucsa vs McCartney Kessler

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.91

Zheng position

Jiangxi Open: Wushuang Zheng vs Yulia Starodubtseva

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.46

Tagger position

Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Viktorija Golubic

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.88

Golubic position

Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Viktorija Golubic

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.6

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.9

Liquid position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.45

Yes position

Will Yokohama FC win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.55

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Gay" in June?

No 54% 7.58 shares
Will Trump say "Space Force" this week?

No 81% 10 shares
Will Trump say "All In All Out" in June?

No 77% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week?

No 79% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Uber" this week?

No 87% 5 shares
Will Trump say "Memory" this week?

No 38% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?

No 78% 5 shares
Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?

No 78% 5 shares
Will Trump say "Generation" this week?

No 73% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Swamp The Vote" this week?

No 93% 8 shares
Will Trump say "CIA" this week?

No 83% 5 shares
Will Trump say "Sex" in June?

No 78% 10 shares