No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $118.74K
- Potential payout
- $286.13K
- Potential profit
- $167.39K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$24.32K
Polymarket Trader
b2d0
0xe9514aa0b925353ea0d5e32978d636ec25ebde18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $416.94K
- Realized PnL
- $82.1K
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $167.39K
- Potential payout
- $286.13K
- Potential profit
- $118.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $24.32K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $129.72K
- Potential payout
- $181.43K
- Potential profit
- $51.71K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$36.7K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$575.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.63K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.21K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.68K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.85K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.68
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.15K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 6,478.67 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 80,447.86 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 94% 21,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 2,255.59 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.6% 60.88 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.6% 2,606.65 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.4% 29,680.22 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 50 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 393 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 86% 4,075.81 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 95% 10,293.29 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 83% 487.11 shares