Over position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$639.08
Polymarket Trader
drunktedkennedy
0xe95b292f40867a034ad7e11dbdcb9ff4208e1f15
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.31K
- Realized PnL
- $1.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$484.32
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $480
- Potential payout
- $960
- Potential profit
- $480
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$50.04
Yes position
Will "China" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $664
- Potential profit
- $664
- User PnL
- -$444.88
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $296.21
- Potential payout
- $651
- Potential profit
- $354.8
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $185.53
Fresno State Bulldogs position
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State Aggies
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $303
- Potential payout
- $606
- Potential profit
- $303
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $161
- Potential payout
- $322
- Potential profit
- $161
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $45.08
Colorado State Rams position
Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $72
- Potential payout
- $144
- Potential profit
- $72
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$22.23
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.02
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.4
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.18
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.54
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $137
Yes position
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $83.93
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $77.28
Yes position
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.08
No position
Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.96
No position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.34
Yes position
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.86
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.67
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $20.35
Yes position
Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.86
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $15.84
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.98
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.91
No position
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
Yes position
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.28
No position
Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Yes position
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No 79.8% 519 shares
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No 85.9% 519 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 65% 548 shares
- Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 92% 97 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 40% 548 shares
- Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 88% 131 shares
- Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 88% 150 shares
- Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 88% 64 shares
- Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 88% 442 shares
- Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?No 47% 865 shares
- Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?No 7% 553 shares
- Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?No 51% 865 shares