Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $587.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $87.5
Polymarket Trader
koala1503
0xe95c0d60259a37f279bd5204bf16fd72380101ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $587.5
- Realized PnL
- $8.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$830.48
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$720
No position
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$490
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $965.35
- Potential profit
- $965.35
- User PnL
- -$746.74
Yes position
First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $802.59
- Potential profit
- $802.59
- User PnL
- -$480.22
No position
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$286.78
No position
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$184.99
Yes position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$199.95
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $399.98
- User PnL
- -$267.99
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.76
- Potential profit
- $370.76
- User PnL
- -$147.54
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Wild
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.88
- Potential profit
- $350.88
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$110
UL Monroe position
UL Monroe vs. Louisiana
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$92
Yes position
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$67.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $980
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $953.97
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.15
Yes position
Will South Africa win?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.09
No position
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.62
No position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $390.81
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.5
Fritz position
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.51
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.21
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195
Yes position
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.97
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111
No position
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.52
Yes position
Will Konyaspor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.5
No position
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.78
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance40.6% 717.59 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance17.3% 27.46 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 2,500 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 41.5% 2,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 25.7% 1,200 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 55% 1,011.87 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?Yes 67.6% 100 shares
- Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?No 99.5% 2,906.12 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No 61.8% 1,803.72 shares
- Will Trump sue the BBC?No 95.1% 1,172.15 shares
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 88% 1,056.5 shares
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 87% 35.17 shares