Polymarket Trader

carlmagnuses

@TitoMarchev

0xe95f74d1457af3376e98b962739b09fcef521a57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $187.59
Realized PnL: $27.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87K
Potential profit: $18.87K
User PnL: -$2.33K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.31K
Potential profit: $6.31K
User PnL: -$2.99K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$389.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$56.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$590.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$495.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$24.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$238.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$2.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $611.11
Potential profit: $611.11
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$178.12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$17.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$47.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$242.16

Yes position

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $187.59
Potential payout: $559.98
Potential profit: $372.39
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 7?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $551.95
Potential profit: $551.95
User PnL: -$45.3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 7?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $447.05
Potential profit: $447.05
User PnL: -$46.36

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.27
Potential profit: $434.27
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83K

Yes position

Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.02K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,250 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 13?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 13?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $934.61

Gukesh position

World Chess Championship - Game 3

Ends Nov 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $835.37

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $664.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $625.3

No position

$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.2

Yes position

Dogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $440

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

Yes position

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.20 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $226.4

Ding position

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $208.9

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.86

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.36

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 49% 33.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 50% 66.08 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?

Yes 46% 20 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?

Yes 46% 20 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?

Yes 51% 20 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?

Yes 48% 20 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18?

Yes 47% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?

No 88.2% 45.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?

No 88.2% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?

No 88.2% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?

No 88.2% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?

No 88.2% 60 shares