Yes position
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $74.69
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$6.79
Polymarket Trader
thdesw
0xe9647460d9efa49682803ad109c84938e62b537f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $411.07
- Realized PnL
- $16.35
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $336.38
- Potential payout
- $585
- Potential profit
- $248.63
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- $27.19
No position
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $23.87
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$47.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?No 58% 585 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 3.3% 735 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 3.3% 690 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 3.3% 755 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 3.3% 785 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 3.3% 687 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 4.6% 735 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 4.6% 690 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 4.6% 755 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 4.6% 785 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 4.6% 687 shares
- Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No 87% 385 shares