Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
OxSamXBT
@OxSamXBT
0xe96b4be87ceae04b8b37a6a36c174e84902ea737
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.47
- Realized PnL
- $217.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149
- Potential profit
- $149
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $60.12
- Potential profit
- $59.7
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$10.58
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $50.23
- Potential profit
- $40.44
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.75
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$16.75
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
No position
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 36.4% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 35.9% 15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 53.1% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 43% 30 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 44% 30 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 53.8% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 3.9% 29.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 20 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes 19% 50.22 shares
- Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes 42% 5.55 shares
- Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes 42% 10.51 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes 22% 45.45 shares