Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $172.63
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $944.73
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Polymarket Trader
0xe987...b9c5
0xe98793eb114b65ab43f1aef9e51e80f6e1a7b9c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- $8.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $389.5
- Potential payout
- $390.47
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- User PnL
- $157.93
Yes position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $80.26
- Potential payout
- $205.78
- Potential profit
- $125.53
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $145.29
- Potential payout
- $162.34
- Potential profit
- $17.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $71.8
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $134
- Potential payout
- $147.09
- Potential profit
- $13.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $26.16
Yes position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $19.29
- Potential payout
- $113.45
- Potential profit
- $94.16
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$16.93
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $57.72
- Potential payout
- $59.88
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.01
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $31.79
- Potential payout
- $42.88
- Potential profit
- $11.08
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $26.03
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.77
- Potential payout
- $10.02
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $8.78
- Potential profit
- $7.24
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Clippers position
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $923.08
Pereira position
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $651.98
Perry position
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.72
Lakers position
Clippers vs. Lakers
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.72
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.6
Spivac position
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.93
No position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.66
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $258.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.02
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.42
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $142.34
Green position
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or below on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $110.47
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 87% 5.74 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 87% 5.74 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 87% 5.74 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 84% 12.07 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 87% 5.74 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 84.9% 12.07 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 87% 5.74 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 87% 5.74 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 87% 5.74 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 84% 19.01 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 87% 5.74 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?No 87% 5.74 shares