Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $32.77
- Potential payout
- $925.78
- Potential profit
- $893.01
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $21.49
Polymarket Trader
Po1yBot-cqDhGZIpjO
0xe991b798bc539cecc2bbe76c9449c22c7f127421
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.35
- Realized PnL
- $21.88
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $734.27
- Potential profit
- $731.7
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $602.88
- Potential profit
- $600.17
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $567.78
- Potential profit
- $565.79
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $3.35
- Potential payout
- $167.72
- Potential profit
- $164.37
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $9.32
- Potential payout
- $11.16
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.4
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $8.09
- Potential payout
- $8.54
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $8.11
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $5.53
- Potential payout
- $5.72
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Timberwolves position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Leandro Riedi position
Gwangju: James McCabe vs Leandro Riedi
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No 82% 4.27 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No 82% 4.27 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 99.7% 3.72 shares
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 252.88 shares
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 350 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 94% 3.72 shares
- Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 217.78 shares
- Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 350 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 3.7 shares
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 1% 234.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 8.11 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?No 98% 1.49 shares