Polymarket Trader

Carao3

0xe9a4aed5ee277c4af9e92a01b870e00508e7dbc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $168.51
Realized PnL: $812.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $88.07
Potential payout: $93.39
Potential profit: $5.32
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $59.02

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 22 above $285?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $72.21
Potential payout: $72.21
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $42.24

the bug position

Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $66.47
Potential profit: $66.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$28.29

No position

Désiré Doué: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.31
Potential profit: $29.31
User PnL: -$5.1

Iraq position

Spread: Senegal (-4.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.55
Potential profit: $19.55
User PnL: -$6.45

No position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.62
Potential profit: $16.62
User PnL: -$4.25

No position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.95
Potential profit: $15.95
User PnL: -$7.02

Under position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.61
Potential profit: $15.61
User PnL: -$6.07

No position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.91
Potential profit: $14.91
User PnL: -$6.41

Yes position

Portugal leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.37
Potential profit: $11.37
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.12
Potential profit: $9.12
User PnL: -$3.75

No position

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $8.22
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.84
Potential profit: $7.84
User PnL: -$3.23

Jerome Kym position

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Jerome Kym

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.42
Potential profit: $7.42
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.39
Potential profit: $5.39
User PnL: -$2.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.39

No position

Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.23

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.75

No position

Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.75

Ajla Tomljanovic position

Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.67

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.38

Nadia Podoroska position

ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.56

Yes position

Norway leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.96

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.81

Julia Stusek position

ITF Nice: Manon Favier vs Julia Stusek

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.58

Yes position

Will Everton de Viña del Mar win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.95

Under position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.57

Elena Milutinovic position

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Milutinovic vs Nadja Mladenovic

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.65

Yes position

Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.85

ASTRAL position

Counter-Strike: SAW vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.66

Yes position

Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.91

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.43

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 23?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.72

Madison Keys position

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug - Game 2 Winner

the bug 42.6% 66.47 shares
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals

No 14% 18.24 shares
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals

No 23% 11.07 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

No 43% 5.05 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

No 9% 8.97 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

No 45% 7.65 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)

Bosnia and Herzegovina 40% 15.61 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 18?

Yes 44.5% 5.39 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?

No 39% 14.27 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?

No 39% 20.33 shares
Caleb Yirenkyi: 1+ goals

No 14% 30.65 shares
Caleb Yirenkyi: 1+ goals

No 14% 11.71 shares