Polymarket Trader

Allcap

0xe9b3ddcaf6fe4d04f937f16df009284e8094cfd0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $441.08
Realized PnL: $349.47
Win rate: 39.1%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $230.16
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$151.98

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$121.79

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $645.06
Potential profit: $645.06
User PnL: -$22.6

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $39.1
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $300.9
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$11.9

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $325
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $283.25
Potential profit: $283.25
User PnL: -$19.8

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $61.01
Potential payout: $234.66
Potential profit: $173.65
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $5.16

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $15.34
Potential payout: $164.9
Potential profit: $149.56
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $12.63
Potential payout: $132.96
Potential profit: $120.33
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $31.34
Potential payout: $110.01
Potential profit: $78.67
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$11.86

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $108.24
Potential profit: $96.87
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$6.64

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.29
Potential profit: $104.29
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $98.18
Potential profit: $81.49
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$5.41

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $13.53
Potential payout: $96.65
Potential profit: $83.12
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$5.26

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.84
Potential profit: $69.84
User PnL: -$22.45

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $37.3
Potential profit: $28.35
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.52
Potential profit: $30.52
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.91
Potential profit: $20.91
User PnL: -$3.73

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.28
Potential profit: $12.28
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.23

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.7

Yes position

Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.26

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.28

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.49

No position

Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Liberal Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.11

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$4.55

No position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.61

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.08

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.14

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.9

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$51.21

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$77.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

Yes 31% 20 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

Yes 31% 32.26 shares
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?

Yes 7.6% 23.27 shares
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?

Yes 9.1% 93.11 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

Yes 41% 2.93 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 108.24 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

Yes 57% 21.05 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.4% 22.73 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.4% 68.18 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Yes 68% 7.79 shares