N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
simsii
0xe9bae88d0762897ebff34f8519ff8a70e23a952e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $139.97
- Realized PnL
- -$33.71
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $317.26
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.2%
- Current value
- $95.54
- Potential payout
- $190.17
- Potential profit
- $94.63
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- $85.54
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $141.59
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $124.19
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.75
- Potential profit
- $100.75
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $10.33
- Potential payout
- $93.46
- Potential profit
- $83.13
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $53.71
- Potential profit
- $49.07
- Multiplier
- 11.57x
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $46.64
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?Yes 5.6% 53.71 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?Yes 5.3% 190.17 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp 9% 116.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp 27% 18.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp 25.6% 97.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown 18% 555.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown 9% 277.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp 89% 8.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown 13% 38.46 shares