No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $113.78
- Potential payout
- $123.01
- Potential profit
- $9.23
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8
Polymarket Trader
0xe9c5...3155
0xe9c5a7f879f3548f479df515e6dd54a686c43155
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $113.78
- Realized PnL
- -$34.26
- Win rate
- 76.9%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.81
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $17.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.92
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$111.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 86% 123 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 94.1% 177.61 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 80% 64.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 62% 84.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 87% 112.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 65% 84.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 93% 51.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 88% 51.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.6% 50.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 79% 40.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 80% 40.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 79% 65.09 shares