No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $565.63
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $59.38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $65.63
Polymarket Trader
EmilEisert
0xe9ca72f48e690cc05430379598158cfbc24b1763
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.6K
- Realized PnL
- $567.6
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $325.22
- Potential payout
- $329.67
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $25.22
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $307
- Potential payout
- $321.29
- Potential profit
- $14.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $97
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $103
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $192.94
- Potential payout
- $196.08
- Potential profit
- $3.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $92.94
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $31.28
- Potential payout
- $165.52
- Potential profit
- $134.23
- Multiplier
- 5.29x
- User PnL
- -$68.72
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.18
- Potential profit
- $161.18
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.92
- Potential profit
- $155.92
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$63
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
UK Recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $33.03
- Potential payout
- $46.2
- Potential profit
- $13.17
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $15.49
- Potential payout
- $37.77
- Potential profit
- $22.28
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
Ends Jan 19, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.9%
- Current value
- $21.8
- Potential payout
- $33.08
- Potential profit
- $11.28
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.14
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.52
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.21
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.81
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.48
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.9
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.96
No position
OpenAI browser by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.59
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.85
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.67
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.48
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 46% 166.66 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 30% 166.67 shares
- Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?No 68.2% 300.74 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No 50% 58 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 56% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 63% 100 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.4% 321.29 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?No 91% 465.6 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes 63.4% 157.81 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?No 62% 161.18 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?No 64.1% 155.92 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 80% 625 shares