Polymarket Trader

h3at8899

@h3at99

0xe9cd13bcf3366aed1788c0cfc694cbf5afce701f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.46K
Realized PnL: $9.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $2.51K
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$570.8

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $834.21
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $959.79
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $62.79

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $11.86
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.26K

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $79.72
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $229.18

Yes position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $187.88
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $855.92
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$751.54

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.1%
Current value: $620.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $379.5
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$104.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $854.53
Potential payout: $968.86
Potential profit: $114.33
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$30.46

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $31.24
Potential payout: $568.03
Potential profit: $536.79
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$303.9

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $189
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.2%
Current value: $138.38
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $61.62
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$15.62

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $19.3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.7
Multiplier: 5.18x
User PnL: $4.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Celtics position

Magic vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $964

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $677.58

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.48

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $348.6

Leeds United position

Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-11.5)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281

No position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.31

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.18

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.26

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

No position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.1

No position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.87

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152

No position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.68

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.5

Thunder position

Suns vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 2,249.98 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 79% 250 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 53% 2,000 shares
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 90% 1,338.69 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 88% 1,150 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 67% 815.14 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Yes 92% 627.3 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92% 2,567.3 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Yes 91.6% 4,300.47 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 43% 8 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 36.2% 1,000 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 43% 954 shares