Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
0xe9CF85Ed73e1c0f0C85475F6562B59F490F3Bf99-1776960597729
0xe9cf85ed73e1c0f0c85475f6562b59f490f3bf99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.43
- Realized PnL
- $39.19
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.63
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $12.2
- Potential payout
- $51.92
- Potential profit
- $39.72
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$28.8
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $35.14
- Potential profit
- $34.17
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $7.51
- Multiplier
- 8.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Finland position
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 79% 51.92 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 11.8% 8.47 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 2.8% 35.14 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 69% 68.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 76% 68.28 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 89% 59.1 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 40% 34.65 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 40.6% 24.45 shares
- World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandFinland 99% 24.66 shares