Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $7.32
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $11.68
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$9.59
Polymarket Trader
PaperHander
0xe9e60829a5913370ac94805da1bbd47a1e9207d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.32
- Realized PnL
- -$304.83
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.76
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.57
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.2
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.34
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.78
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.96
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.55
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$178.37
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$179.08
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 220 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 94.4% 184.84 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?No 99.2% 38.58 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 0.2% 124.82 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 0.3% 84 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes 46% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 97.8% 94.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 97.5% 94.5 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 86% 208.82 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No 99.1% 180 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 97.4% 170 shares