Polymarket Trader

askw

0xea1d5f4a0c1f198c4d12ffc521a8f44455c2aa25

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $512.73
Realized PnL: $1.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $56.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $243.75
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $12.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $187.3
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $110.99
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $24.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $75.5
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $96.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $58.45
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $11.55
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $11.45

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $54.95
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $15.05
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $20.49
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $39.51
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$12.31

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $7.25

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $37.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $2.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.06

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.72

No position

Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.1

No position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.91

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

No position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.87

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.06

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.9

No position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.76

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.7

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.47

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.8

No position

US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.77

No position

Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 68% 40 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 79% 70 shares
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.9% 10 shares
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 60 shares
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 31% 30 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 200 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.4% 60 shares
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 96% 15 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.2% 100 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.5% 200 shares
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 89% 50 shares
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 87% 30 shares