Polymarket Trader

Nevalopo

0xea241003ab749e17f8b47db0c23fb269ceb19efb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.15
Realized PnL: $12.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.35
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.51
Potential profit: $18.51
User PnL: -$1

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.59
Potential profit: $12.59
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.7
Potential profit: $8.7
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: -$1

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02
Potential profit: $4.02
User PnL: -$1.97

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$2

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.3%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $3.3
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.71

OG position

Dota 2: Heroic vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $3.28
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.57
Potential profit: $2.57
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

OG position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Virginia Cavaliers position

Syracuse Orange vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 71.5% 12.59 shares
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Yes 60.6% 3.3 shares
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Yes 38.9% 2.57 shares
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

No 75% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Up 57% 8.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Up 89.6% 8.91 shares
Syracuse Orange vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers 90% 2.5 shares
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?

Yes 23% 8.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Yes 12.8% 7.81 shares
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

No 18% 27.78 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 61.8% 1.62 shares
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares