Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Polymarket Trader
nomantoo
0xea2e362e3ed3b81df82ab64b123318b8028b1e57
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.22K
- Realized PnL
- $177.51
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $637
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $763
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$63
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $8.78
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $7.61
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $6.56
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $618.44
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $14.26
- Potential payout
- $606.75
- Potential profit
- $592.49
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 IR Iran?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $470
- User PnL
- -$47
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Korea Republic?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $178.81
- Potential payout
- $401.83
- Potential profit
- $223.01
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $103.21
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.93
- Potential profit
- $374.93
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $363.7
- Potential profit
- $363.15
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $131
- Potential payout
- $331.66
- Potential profit
- $200.65
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $283.28
- Potential profit
- $271.38
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $236.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 Mexico?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.21
- Potential profit
- $247.21
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $60.13
- Potential payout
- $226.91
- Potential profit
- $166.78
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$4.87
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $18.94
- Potential payout
- $157.84
- Potential profit
- $138.9
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $47.66
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $108.59
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.63
- Potential profit
- $129.63
- User PnL
- -$35
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $28.21
- Potential payout
- $106.43
- Potential profit
- $78.23
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$6.79
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $14.12
- Potential payout
- $104.95
- Potential profit
- $90.83
- Multiplier
- 7.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.62
No position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.33
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Canada?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.44
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Under position
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
France leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?No 72% 6.75 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 40% 12.5 shares
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No 97.6% 5.09 shares
- Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 0.4% 94.23 shares
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?No 89% 5.62 shares
- Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,171 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?No 71.7% 300 shares
- Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?No 89% 5.62 shares
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No 97.8% 5.11 shares