Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $8.73K
- Potential payout
- $205.44K
- Potential profit
- $196.71K
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Polymarket Trader
TortugaGorda
0xea2f794a7f0ce05e4bbd357b3ccbb3bd2048a8ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.9K
- Realized PnL
- $220.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $754.87
- Potential payout
- $100.65K
- Potential profit
- $99.89K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $33.92
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $902.6
- Potential payout
- $58.23K
- Potential profit
- $57.33K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $234.74
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $349.8
- Potential payout
- $53.82K
- Potential profit
- $53.47K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $60.76
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $17.08
- Potential payout
- $34.16K
- Potential profit
- $34.14K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$644.05
No position
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.48K
- Potential profit
- $23.48K
- User PnL
- -$823.88
Yes position
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $6.88K
- Potential profit
- $6.88K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$33.05
Yes position
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$164.62
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $134.72
- Potential payout
- $997.94
- Potential profit
- $863.22
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$151.15
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.45
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Yes position
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.84K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.16K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32K
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.76K
No position
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51K
No position
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Colorado rally on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55K
Yes position
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.31K
Yes position
Will Trump say “God / Hell” 10+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08K
Yes position
Will Trump say "hell" 20 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85K
No position
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9K
No position
Will Trump say "tax" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Oct 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88K
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
No position
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
Yes position
Will courts block Trump's tariffs before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
No position
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
No position
Will Trump say "Debate" during Wisconsin speech October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz say "Dog" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 0.8% 9,077.15 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 17% 2,868.2 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 0.5% 13,268.22 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 17% 400 shares
- Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 0.9% 11,714.66 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 19% 500 shares
- Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 0.9% 5,193 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 19% 500 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 4.5% 4,672.94 shares
- Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 1.1% 3,095.91 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 9.9% 5,537.88 shares
- Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 8% 5,077.32 shares