Polymarket Trader

friendlyusername

0xea300cc5c9e63a64fb4c278fb418c0a21560f2a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $298.77
Realized PnL: $2.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.37K
User PnL: -$131.97

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $537.78
Potential profit: $537.78
User PnL: -$19.9

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $470
User PnL: -$9.77

No position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $424.65
Potential profit: $424.65
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $298.17
Potential payout: $357.09
Potential profit: $58.92
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $63.11

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.39
Potential profit: $337.39
User PnL: -$12.12

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by 10-15%?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$50.4

Yes position

Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $190
User PnL: -$2.48

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 4?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.36
Potential profit: $122.36
User PnL: -$51.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.66
Potential profit: $103.66
User PnL: -$12.29

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$7.8

No position

Will Trump say "Normandy" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $352.12

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.92

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $258.79

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by 5-10%?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.7

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.4

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.48

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.43

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.29

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.2

No position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.91

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.06

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.14

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $25.06

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.56

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.37

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 73% 225.55 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?

Yes 76.7% 99.12 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?

Yes 70% 50 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?

Yes 68.7% 88 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?

Yes 97.1% 842.92 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?

Yes 74% 62 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?

Yes 54% 650.93 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?

Yes 53% 129.99 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?

Yes 53% 119.97 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 68.5% 225.55 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 53% 137.54 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 43% 54 shares