Polymarket Trader

andtay

0xea39e4889f1dfb840897ab91392dc24a05d69cb9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $383.1
Realized PnL: $49.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.46K
Potential profit: $7.46K
User PnL: -$29.83

Neymar position

World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr.

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $56.19
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $965.43
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$40.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$15.01

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $754.12
Potential profit: $742.43
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $10.38

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567.52
Potential profit: $567.52
User PnL: -$19.86

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $499.26
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $337.39
Potential profit: $334.35
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $2.36

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $214.23
Potential payout: $283.75
Potential profit: $69.52
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $58.23

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.7
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.9
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $13.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $186.7
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.9
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.1
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $192.1
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.3
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.7
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $8.46
Potential payout: $182.01
Potential profit: $173.55
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $169.24
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $12.48
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $107.52
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: -$39.27

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.8%
Current value: $29.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $70.2
Multiplier: 3.36x
User PnL: -$11.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 0.7% 305.65 shares
World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr.

Neymar 8.6% 194.6 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 13,988.52 shares
World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr.

Neymar 9.7% 827.02 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 28,099.99 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 0.4% 4,414.7 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 0.4% 411.37 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 1% 20,300 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.3% 8,100 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.3% 6,888.52 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 5.2% 1,840.2 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 5.3% 51.51 shares