Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $139.1
- Potential profit
- $133.4
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- $1.89
Polymarket Trader
oxEA405Cc8b16aBdD29023FeB5ba626189815A86b9
0xea405cc8b16abdd29023feb5ba626189815a86b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $372.91
- Realized PnL
- $35.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $98.37
- Potential payout
- $104.2
- Potential profit
- $5.84
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $79.29
- Potential profit
- $74.06
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $52.42
- Potential payout
- $58.57
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $23.87
- Potential payout
- $45.47
- Potential profit
- $21.6
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $40.51
- Potential profit
- $35.45
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.75
- Potential profit
- $38.75
- User PnL
- -$1.24
No position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.2
- Potential profit
- $37.2
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $35.39
- Potential profit
- $12.39
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.46
- Potential profit
- $33.46
- User PnL
- -$4.06
No position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.66
- Potential profit
- $32.66
- User PnL
- -$7.76
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $25.35
- Potential payout
- $32.29
- Potential profit
- $6.94
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $28.43
- Potential payout
- $30.16
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.81
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $22.89
- Potential profit
- $7.9
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $17.49
- Potential payout
- $20.82
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $17.79
- Potential payout
- $20.69
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Y
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $20.63
- Potential profit
- $16.4
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $17.65
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Blue wave in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $12.59
- Potential payout
- $16.68
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $12.65
- Potential payout
- $14.54
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $13.89
- Potential payout
- $14.43
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $6.14
- Potential payout
- $13.95
- Potential profit
- $7.81
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $5.71
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
N
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 76% 5 shares
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Yes 4.6% 79.29 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes 43% 5.33 shares
- Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?Yes 27% 5.56 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No 72% 5.21 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 13.3% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 13.2% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 13.2% 5 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by July 31?No 94% 1.93 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15% 9.6 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Yes 2.7% 139.1 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 87% 5 shares