Polymarket Trader

autisem

0xea41d1253bf603d7947da4659e85080dc2071c98

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.4K
Realized PnL: $27.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.3K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$62.5

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.28K
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $17.26
User PnL: $78.92

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$69.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$20.61

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $457.07
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $993.94
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $157.07

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $715.42
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $701.25
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $255.42

No position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$329.91

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$185.42

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $41.64
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $66.2

No position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $83.02
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $186.35

Yes position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $107.06
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $7.06

Yes position

Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$382.16

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $980.45
Potential profit: $980.45
User PnL: -$597.41

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $578.88
Potential payout: $933.67
Potential profit: $354.79
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $272.16

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $922.17
Potential profit: $922.17
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $92.41
Potential payout: $739.26
Potential profit: $646.85
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$7.59

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $718
Potential profit: $718
User PnL: -$61.28

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $468.66
Potential payout: $642
Potential profit: $173.34
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $301.95

No position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $607.35
Potential profit: $607.35
User PnL: -$192.13

No position

Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $575
Potential profit: $575
User PnL: -$418.7

No position

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $280.88
Potential payout: $567.43
Potential profit: $286.55
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$107.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

No position

Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

No position

Houthi strike on Israel before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $948.78

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $931.88

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $930.43

No position

Israel strikes Syria by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $893.95

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800.29

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $762.71

Yes position

US military action against Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $674.34

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $669.21

No position

Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $649.99

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $572.59

No position

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $565.5

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $547.03

Yes position

Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.3

No position

Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.51

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.62

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 80.5% 372.54 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 35.1% 199.99 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 70.9% 1,139.88 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 70.2% 476.19 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 84% 476.19 shares
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 78.2% 326.1 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 79% 136.98 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 79% 58.57 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

No 61.1% 11.46 shares
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

No 97.1% 142 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 83.3% 119.68 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 73% 136.99 shares