0xeA426C5D868E3C469749B3168a251423531BF39F-1780972632638

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.9
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.3
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $5.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.03
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.73
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.48
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.23
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 25.3%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 3.96x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.43
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 52.4%
Current value: $2.62
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $1.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?