No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Polymarket Trader
0xea6b...988d
0xea6b0fbeda7a40b9d70b4531cb4585f36804988d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $125.94
- Realized PnL
- $46.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.7%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $10.06
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- Multiplier
- 2.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
N
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $5.07
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.05
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.07
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Austin Reaves play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Wes Schultz position
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Édgar Cháirez position
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Gabriel Bonfim position
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Thomas Petersen position
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Colby Thicknesse position
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Tommy Gantt position
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Joanderson Brito position
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Steve Erceg position
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Modestas Bukauskas position
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Ketlen Souza position
UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Jeisla Chaves position
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Quillan Salkilld position
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Alessandro Costa position
UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Alessandro Costa position
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 6?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49.7% 10.06 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 87% 5.75 shares
- Will Jason Kelce be a groomsman at Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 98% 5.1 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 96.7% 11.11 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No 85% 5.88 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 97.1% 5.15 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 93% 5.38 shares
- Will Mitchell Robinson play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Yes 99.9% 5.01 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No 97.6% 5.12 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?No 93% 5.38 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?No 97.9% 5.11 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 95% 5.26 shares