Polymarket Trader

rugn

0xea76e4dc135a48260f596968b0e06468e615f048

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $119.86
Realized PnL: $9.24
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$420.12

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $56.52
Potential payout: $991.67
Potential profit: $935.14
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$32.72

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $63.33
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $603.33
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$36.67

Yes position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.16

Yes position

China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Martin Shkreli jail in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.98

50k position

Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.21

No position

Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 26?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 9% 991.67 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 15% 288.14 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 15% 378.53 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 57.7% 83.12 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 42.3% 827.42 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 31.9% 219.81 shares
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Yes 6% 388.7 shares
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Yes 6.1% 44.14 shares
China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Yes 8% 157.14 shares
Martin Shkreli jail in 2024?

Yes 7% 110 shares
Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?

50k 12% 131.57 shares
Martin Shkreli jail in 2024?

Yes 10% 110 shares