Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $51.59
- Potential payout
- $57.61
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $12.07
Polymarket Trader
mcmanamon
0xea7cb568dbbbe00074e822616baad7443c193bc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $160.35
- Realized PnL
- $154.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $41.13
- Potential payout
- $41.53
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $18.4
- Potential payout
- $29.92
- Potential profit
- $11.52
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.3%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $25.55
- Potential profit
- $16.03
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $9.64
- Potential payout
- $11.98
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $11.57
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10.33
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $10.3
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.2% 10.33 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.8% 7.12 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 96.8% 10.28 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 91.4% 10.96 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.5% 0.99 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 96% 10.42 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 96% 10.42 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 96% 10.42 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 91.2% 10.97 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.1% 131.33 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.6% 3.58 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.2% 11 shares